February 28, 2020
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 984 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Jordan Griffin's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jordan Griffin for the expected result. Had TJ Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 024 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -48 |
Jordan Griffin earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. TJ Brown was submitted.
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
TJ Brown controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (91 vs 20 total strikes), significant strike advantage (32 vs 15). However, since TJ Brown lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jordan Griffin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 7:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 979 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Jordan Griffin edged out TJ Brown on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Jordan Griffin demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jordan Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Brown's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 989 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Jordan Griffin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Griffin | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

