July 6, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 103 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Jordan Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 103 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Marcel Fortuna controlled the striking through superior volume (62 vs 47 total strikes), significant strike advantage (53 vs 42), superior accuracy (51.5% vs 30.2%). However, since Marcel Fortuna lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jordan Johnson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:50 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 140 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Jordan Johnson controlled Marcel Fortuna on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:50 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 160 | 153 |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Jordan Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 160 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jordan Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Marcel Fortuna's 153-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Jordan Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcel Fortuna is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Johnson | Marcel Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.