May 31, 2025
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 081 | 905 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 173 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -23 |
Jordan Leavitt earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Jordan Leavitt slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:27 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 792 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Jordan Leavitt dominated Kurt Holobaugh on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 561 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -17 |
Jordan Leavitt demonstrated extended layoff with 561 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this activity level, while Kurt Holobaugh's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Jordan Leavitt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kurt Holobaugh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.