December 17, 2021
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:05 | 2:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -27 |
Jordan Leavitt earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Matt Sayles was submitted.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Jordan Leavitt slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:48 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 817 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
Jordan Leavitt dominated Matt Sayles on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:48 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 742 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Jordan Leavitt demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Sayles's 742-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Jordan Leavitt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Sayles is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Matt Sayles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.