July 22, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +37 |
Paddy Pimblett overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jordan Leavitt.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:46 | 2:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 120 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +67 |
Paddy Pimblett earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:46, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jordan Leavitt was submitted.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Jordan Leavitt controlled the striking through superior accuracy (72.7% vs 43.6%). However, since Jordan Leavitt lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Paddy Pimblett's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:50 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Paddy Pimblett controlled Jordan Leavitt on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:44 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +46 |
Paddy Pimblett demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paddy Pimblett capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Leavitt's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Paddy Pimblett extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Leavitt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.