Jordan Leavitt vs Trey Ogden

April 15, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1081
(+23)
Jordan Leavitt
Winner: Jordan Leavitt
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jordan Leavitt+23
Trey Ogden-19
981
(-19)
Trey Ogden

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +24Trey Ogden: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Total UFC Fights41
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 106976
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Jordan Leavitt's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jordan Leavitt for the expected result. Had Trey Ogden pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +20Trey Ogden: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 042980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +6Trey Ogden: -6

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 163994
ELO Change+6-6
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jordan Leavitt receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +24Trey Ogden: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Significant Strikes Landed6941
Significant Strikes Attempted10590
Total Strikes Landed124130
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 076976
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Jordan Leavitt controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 41 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 45.6% accuracy. Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +22Trey Ogden: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted34
Ground Control Time5:172:02
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 092978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Jordan Leavitt did not secure a significant ground advantage against Trey Ogden on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:17 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +48Trey Ogden: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Days Since Last Fight119N/A
Activity ELO1 078981
ELO Change+48-19
💡

What Happened

Jordan Leavitt demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this activity level, while Trey Ogden's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +23Trey Ogden: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 051981
ELO Change+23-19
💡

What Happened

Jordan Leavitt extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trey Ogden is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Leavitt: +20Trey Ogden: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 042980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.