February 24, 2023
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Jordan Leavitt's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jordan Leavitt for the expected result. Had Victor Martinez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:27 | 2:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 183 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -28 |
Jordan Leavitt earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 146 | 912 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Jordan Leavitt controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 7 significant strikes, 48.6% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Jordan Leavitt landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Jordan Leavitt demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jordan Leavitt capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Martinez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Jordan Leavitt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Martinez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Leavitt | Victor Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.