July 23, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 954 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Mickey Gall's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mickey Gall for the expected result. Had Jordan Williams pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 937 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Mickey Gall earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 945 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Jordan Williams controlled the striking through superior accuracy (37.1% vs 55.0%). However, since Jordan Williams lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mickey Gall's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 892 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Mickey Gall controlled Jordan Williams on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:58 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 965 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +13 |
Mickey Gall demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mickey Gall capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Williams's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Mickey Gall started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Williams | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

