April 22, 2022
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 966 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Marc-Andre Barriault's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marc-Andre Barriault for the expected result. Had Jordan Wright pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 995 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:36 | 2:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +80 |
Marc-Andre Barriault earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 944 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jordan Wright controlled the striking through superior accuracy (92.3% vs 76.5%). However, since Jordan Wright lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marc-Andre Barriault's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:32 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 976 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Marc-Andre Barriault edged out Jordan Wright on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +69 |
Marc-Andre Barriault demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Marc-Andre Barriault capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Wright's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Marc-Andre Barriault started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Wright is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 995 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.