February 17, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 926 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +39 |
Zac Pauga overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jordan Wright.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 935 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 930 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Zac Pauga earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 199 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 874 | 946 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Jordan Wright controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (199 vs 85 total strikes), significant strike advantage (29 vs 59), superior accuracy (37.2% vs 69.4%). However, since Jordan Wright lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Zac Pauga's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 8:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 886 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Zac Pauga edged out Jordan Wright on the ground with 8:40 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Zac Pauga demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Zac Pauga capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Wright's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 941 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Zac Pauga started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Wright is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jordan Wright | Zac Pauga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 935 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.