April 23, 2021
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 278 | 1 524 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +20 |
Kamaru Usman overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jorge Masvidal.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 122 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +23 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Kamaru Usman captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:02 | 1:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 524 | 1 755 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +49 |
Kamaru Usman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 528 | 1 816 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking through superior volume (56 vs 32 total strikes), significant strike advantage (31 vs 21). However, since Jorge Masvidal lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kamaru Usman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 390 | 1 814 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Kamaru Usman landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 429 | 1 529 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +59 |
Kamaru Usman demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kamaru Usman capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 14 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 191 | 1 654 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +30 |
Kamaru Usman extended his incredible 14-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Jorge Masvidal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.