July 26, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 108 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 135 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -49 |
Jorge Masvidal earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Michael Chiesa was submitted.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 066 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 35 total strikes, 63.2% vs 45.3% accuracy. Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:12 | 2:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 213 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Jorge Masvidal dominated Michael Chiesa on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:12 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -22 |
Jorge Masvidal demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Chiesa's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Jorge Masvidal extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Chiesa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.