November 1, 2019
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 311 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -27 |
Jorge Masvidal overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (18 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Diaz.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 141 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 587 | 1 495 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Jorge Masvidal gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 112 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 179 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 125 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 596 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Jorge Masvidal dominated the striking exchanges with 112 vs 43 significant strikes, 62.6% vs 41.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:56 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 40 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 428 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled Nate Diaz on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 6:56 of control time, 40 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 473 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -16 |
Jorge Masvidal demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Diaz's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 199 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Jorge Masvidal extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Diaz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 136 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.