November 5, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Rustam Khabilov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Rustam Khabilov controlled the striking exchanges with 32 vs 38 significant strikes, 32.0% vs 40.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 2:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 166 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Rustam Khabilov landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 103 | 194 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Rustam Khabilov demonstrated standard activity with 194 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 103-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Rustam Khabilov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Masvidal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.