November 3, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 210 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +35 |
Stephen Thompson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jorge Masvidal.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 479 | 1 578 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Stephen Thompson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 142 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 472 | 1 610 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Stephen Thompson controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 42 total strikes, 70 vs 42 significant strikes, 44.9% vs 29.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stephen Thompson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 310 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 418 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +40 |
Stephen Thompson demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stephen Thompson capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +17 |
Stephen Thompson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Masvidal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Masvidal | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

