January 7, 1999
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Pat Miletich's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Miletich for the expected result. Had Jorge Patino pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +45 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Pat Miletich captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:00 | 3:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Pat Miletich earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Pat Miletich dominated the striking exchanges with 71 vs 21 total strikes, 27 vs 19 significant strikes, 38.0% vs 21.6% accuracy. Pat Miletich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Pat Miletich controlled Jorge Patino on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 85 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +26 |
Pat Miletich demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Pat Miletich capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Patino's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +23 |
Pat Miletich extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Patino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Patino | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.