January 18, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Jorge Rivera's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jorge Rivera for the expected result. Had Kendall Grove pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 151 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -52 |
Jorge Rivera earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 149 | 765 |
| ELO Change | +251 | -251 |
Jorge Rivera controlled the striking exchanges with 31 vs 0 total strikes, 28 vs 0 significant strikes, 73.7% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jorge Rivera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Jorge Rivera controlled Kendall Grove on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:05 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 012 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Jorge Rivera demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jorge Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Kendall Grove's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 014 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Jorge Rivera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kendall Grove is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.