January 30, 2004
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:45 | 1:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 007 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +93 |
Lee Murray earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 079 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Jorge Rivera controlled the striking through superior accuracy (50.0% vs 0.0%). However, since Jorge Rivera lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lee Murray's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:27 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 022 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Lee Murray edged out Jorge Rivera on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 128 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Lee Murray demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Lee Murray capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Rivera's 128-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Lee Murray started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Lee Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.