October 23, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Jorge Rivera's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jorge Rivera for the expected result. Had Rob Kimmons pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:53 | 1:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 194 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -38 |
Jorge Rivera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 135 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 202 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Jorge Rivera controlled the striking exchanges with 135 vs 88 total strikes, 66 vs 23 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jorge Rivera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:19 | 2:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 078 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Jorge Rivera controlled Rob Kimmons on the ground with 0 takedowns, 7:19 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 206 | 206 |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Jorge Rivera demonstrated standard activity with 206 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Rob Kimmons's 206-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Jorge Rivera extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob Kimmons is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jorge Rivera | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.