December 18, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 272 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (17 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 234 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 458 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Jose Aldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 70 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Marlon Vera controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (92 vs 60 total strikes). However, since Marlon Vera lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jose Aldo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:57 | 2:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 260 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Jose Aldo did not secure a significant ground advantage against Marlon Vera on the ground with 4:57 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 263 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Jose Aldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jose Aldo capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Vera's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 214 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Jose Aldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marlon Vera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 112 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.