August 6, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 295 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Jose Aldo's 2-fight experience advantage (18 vs 16 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jose Aldo for the expected result. Had Pedro Munhoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 247 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 496 | 1 385 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Jose Aldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 114 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 223 | 179 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 355 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jose Aldo controlled the striking exchanges with 114 vs 75 total strikes, 114 vs 75 significant strikes, 51.1% vs 41.9% accuracy. Jose Aldo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 286 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 288 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Jose Aldo demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jose Aldo capitalized on this activity level, while Pedro Munhoz's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 234 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
Jose Aldo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pedro Munhoz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 132 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.