December 3, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 322 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jose Aldo's 6-fight experience advantage (19 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jose Aldo for the expected result. Had Rob Font pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 261 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 531 | 1 406 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Jose Aldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 149 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 305 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 193 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 460 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -105 |
Rob Font controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (193 vs 96 total strikes), significant strike advantage (149 vs 86). However, since Rob Font lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jose Aldo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:06 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 324 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Jose Aldo landed 2 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 324 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Jose Aldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jose Aldo capitalized on this activity level, while Rob Font's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 256 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Jose Aldo extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob Font is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jose Aldo | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 153 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.