November 23, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Lone'er Kavanagh earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 158 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Jose Ochoa lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Lone'er Kavanagh's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Lone'er Kavanagh did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jose Ochoa on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Lone'er Kavanagh demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Lone'er Kavanagh capitalized on this activity level, while Jose Ochoa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Lone'er Kavanagh started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jose Ochoa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jose Ochoa | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

