June 14, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Josefine Knutsson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 124 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 244 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 145 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 101 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Josefine Knutsson dominated the striking exchanges with 145 vs 86 total strikes, 124 vs 64 significant strikes. Josefine Knutsson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 4:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 108 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Josefine Knutsson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Julia Polastri on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Josefine Knutsson demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Josefine Knutsson capitalized on this activity level, while Julia Polastri's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Josefine Knutsson extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julia Polastri is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.