Josefine Knutsson vs Piera Rodriguez

December 14, 2024

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1017
(-47)
Josefine Knutsson
Winner: Piera Rodriguez
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josefine Knutsson-47
Piera Rodriguez+47
1049
(+47)
Piera Rodriguez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -35Piera Rodriguez: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Total UFC Fights35
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0161 047
ELO Change-35+35
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What Happened

Piera Rodriguez's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Piera Rodriguez for the expected result. Had Josefine Knutsson pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -24Piera Rodriguez: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0171 020
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -47Piera Rodriguez: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0321 084
ELO Change-47+47
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What Happened

Piera Rodriguez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -38Piera Rodriguez: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Significant Strikes Landed2636
Significant Strikes Attempted5564
Total Strikes Landed6785
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0631 027
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Piera Rodriguez edged the striking exchanges with 36 vs 26 significant strikes, 56.3% vs 47.3% accuracy. Piera Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -157Piera Rodriguez: +157

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Takedowns Landed08
Takedowns Attempted010
Ground Control Time1:1710:24
Ground Strikes Landed013
Ground ELO9511 127
ELO Change-157+157
💡

What Happened

Piera Rodriguez dominated Josefine Knutsson on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 10:24 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -23Piera Rodriguez: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Days Since Last Fight183211
Activity ELO1 0181 040
ELO Change-23+28
💡

What Happened

Piera Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Piera Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Josefine Knutsson's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -24Piera Rodriguez: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0231 030
ELO Change-24+26
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What Happened

Piera Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josefine Knutsson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josefine Knutsson: -24Piera Rodriguez: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0171 020
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.