December 14, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Piera Rodriguez's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Piera Rodriguez for the expected result. Had Josefine Knutsson pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 032 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Piera Rodriguez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 063 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Piera Rodriguez edged the striking exchanges with 36 vs 26 significant strikes, 56.3% vs 47.3% accuracy. Piera Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:17 | 10:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 951 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -157 | +157 |
Piera Rodriguez dominated Josefine Knutsson on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 10:24 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Piera Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Piera Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Josefine Knutsson's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Piera Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josefine Knutsson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josefine Knutsson | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

