June 28, 2019
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 290 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Joseph Benavidez's 4-fight experience advantage (18 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joseph Benavidez for the expected result. Had Jussier Formiga pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 197 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:47 | 4:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 488 | 1 308 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -32 |
Joseph Benavidez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 437 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Joseph Benavidez dominated the striking exchanges with 72 vs 15 total strikes, 50 vs 15 significant strikes, 43.5% vs 31.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:03 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 446 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Joseph Benavidez landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 385 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -12 |
Joseph Benavidez demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this activity level, while Jussier Formiga's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 258 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -16 |
Joseph Benavidez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jussier Formiga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 193 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.