April 25, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 142 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Joseph Benavidez's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joseph Benavidez for the expected result. Had Tim Elliott pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 094 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:08 | 4:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 253 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -20 |
Joseph Benavidez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 185 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Tim Elliott controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (16 vs 9), superior accuracy (76.2% vs 39.1%). However, since Tim Elliott lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joseph Benavidez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:33 | 1:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 177 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Joseph Benavidez edged out Tim Elliott on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 180 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -13 |
Joseph Benavidez demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Elliott's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Joseph Benavidez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Elliott is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 089 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.