October 28, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
JunYong Park's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JunYong Park for the expected result. Had Joseph Holmes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:04 | 3:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 987 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +65 |
JunYong Park earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:04, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Joseph Holmes was submitted.
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
JunYong Park edged the striking exchanges with 48 vs 21 total strikes. JunYong Park capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 4:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 895 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -144 | +144 |
JunYong Park dominated Joseph Holmes on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:37 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
JunYong Park demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, JunYong Park capitalized on this activity level, while Joseph Holmes's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
JunYong Park extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joseph Holmes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joseph Holmes | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.