February 22, 2001
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Pedro Rizzo's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pedro Rizzo for the expected result. Had Josh Barnett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:21 | 4:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 072 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +30 |
Pedro Rizzo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Josh Barnett controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (39 vs 31). However, since Josh Barnett lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pedro Rizzo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 011 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 013 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +14 |
Pedro Rizzo demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Rizzo capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Barnett's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Pedro Rizzo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Barnett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.