December 27, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 140 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Travis Browne's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Travis Browne for the expected result. Had Josh Barnett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 142 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:00 | 1:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 395 | 1 509 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +133 |
Travis Browne secured a devastating KO/TKO in 1:00 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 289 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Travis Browne slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 12 vs 5 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 71.4% accuracy. Travis Browne capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Travis Browne controlled Josh Barnett on the ground with 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 160 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +45 |
Travis Browne demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Travis Browne capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Barnett's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 104 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Travis Browne extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Barnett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Barnett | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.