August 2, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 956 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Rani Yahya's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rani Yahya for the expected result. Had Josh Clopton pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 931 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Rani Yahya earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 135 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Rani Yahya dominated the striking exchanges with 135 vs 57 total strikes, 14 vs 5 significant strikes. Rani Yahya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:19 | 8:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 937 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Rani Yahya controlled Josh Clopton on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:23 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 609 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Clopton's 609-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Rani Yahya extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Clopton is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Clopton | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.