July 21, 2023
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Lerone Murphy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Lerone Murphy controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 40 total strikes, 59 vs 23 significant strikes, 54.1% vs 39.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lerone Murphy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:30 | 7:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 23 |
| Ground ELO | 981 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Lerone Murphy dominated Josh Culibao on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:38 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 041 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Lerone Murphy demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lerone Murphy capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Culibao's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 041 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +35 |
Lerone Murphy continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Josh Culibao's now at 0.
| Metric | Josh Culibao | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

