Josh Culibao vs Lerone Murphy

July 21, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1041
(-29)
Josh Culibao
Winner: Lerone Murphy
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Culibao-29
Lerone Murphy+35
1178
(+35)
Lerone Murphy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -16Lerone Murphy: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Total UFC Fights66
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 0611 187
ELO Change-16+24
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -18Lerone Murphy: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0251 103
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -25Lerone Murphy: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0841 282
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Lerone Murphy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -68Lerone Murphy: +68

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Significant Strikes Landed2359
Significant Strikes Attempted59109
Total Strikes Landed4087
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0701 244
ELO Change-68+68
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What Happened

Lerone Murphy controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 40 total strikes, 59 vs 23 significant strikes, 54.1% vs 39.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lerone Murphy capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -50Lerone Murphy: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted25
Ground Control Time1:307:38
Ground Strikes Landed023
Ground ELO9811 229
ELO Change-50+50
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What Happened

Lerone Murphy dominated Josh Culibao on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:38 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -19Lerone Murphy: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Days Since Last Fight161126
Activity ELO1 0411 131
ELO Change-19+38
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What Happened

Lerone Murphy demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lerone Murphy capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Culibao's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -18Lerone Murphy: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 0411 141
ELO Change-18+35
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What Happened

Lerone Murphy continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Josh Culibao's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Culibao: -18Lerone Murphy: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh CulibaoLerone Murphy
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0251 103
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.