Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy

April 5, 2025

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1238
(-30)
Josh Emmett
Winner: Lerone Murphy
Decision - Unanimous
Round 5 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Emmett-30
Lerone Murphy+39
1298
(+39)
Lerone Murphy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -27Lerone Murphy: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Total UFC Fights159
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 2341 346
ELO Change-27+38
💡

What Happened

Lerone Murphy overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Emmett.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -20Lerone Murphy: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1091 161
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -51Lerone Murphy: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round55
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4051 430
ELO Change-51+51
💡

What Happened

Lerone Murphy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -59Lerone Murphy: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Significant Strikes Landed4184
Significant Strikes Attempted143157
Total Strikes Landed44117
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3901 391
ELO Change-59+59
💡

What Happened

Lerone Murphy dominated the striking exchanges with 117 vs 44 total strikes, 84 vs 41 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 28.7% accuracy. Lerone Murphy capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -15Lerone Murphy: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted110
Ground Control Time3:390:06
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2171 343
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Lerone Murphy did not secure a significant ground advantage against Josh Emmett on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -27Lerone Murphy: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Days Since Last Fight477161
Activity ELO1 2701 249
ELO Change-27+47
💡

What Happened

Lerone Murphy demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lerone Murphy capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Emmett's 477-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -18Lerone Murphy: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Win Streak08
Win Streak ELO1 1741 304
ELO Change-18+61
💡

What Happened

Lerone Murphy continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Josh Emmett's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -20Lerone Murphy: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettLerone Murphy
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1081 161
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.