December 16, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -28 |
Josh Emmett overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Scott Holtzman.
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 060 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Josh Emmett earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 160 | 179 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 99 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Josh Emmett controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 65 significant strikes, 54.4% vs 36.3% accuracy. Josh Emmett capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:59 | 3:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 101 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Josh Emmett controlled Scott Holtzman on the ground with 8 vs 3 takedowns, 3:59 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 158 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Josh Emmett demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Josh Emmett capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Holtzman's 158-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Josh Emmett extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Holtzman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.