Josh Emmett vs Yair Rodriguez

February 10, 2023

UFC Interim Featherweight Title Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1272
(-30)
Josh Emmett
Winner: Yair Rodriguez
Submission
Round 2 • 4:19

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Emmett-30
Yair Rodriguez+34
1349
(+34)
Yair Rodriguez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -31Yair Rodriguez: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Total UFC Fights1213
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 2621 326
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (12 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -20Yair Rodriguez: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1301 180
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -34Yair Rodriguez: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:194:19
Win Type ELO1 4311 586
ELO Change-34+53
💡

What Happened

Yair Rodriguez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:19, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Josh Emmett was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -51Yair Rodriguez: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Significant Strikes Landed2262
Significant Strikes Attempted52107
Total Strikes Landed3598
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4601 548
ELO Change-51+51
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What Happened

Yair Rodriguez dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 35 total strikes, 62 vs 22 significant strikes, 57.9% vs 42.3% accuracy. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -48Yair Rodriguez: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted40
Ground Control Time3:010:00
Ground Strikes Landed88
Ground ELO1 2781 321
ELO Change-48+48
💡

What Happened

Yair Rodriguez edged out Josh Emmett on the ground with 0 takedowns, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -16Yair Rodriguez: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Days Since Last Fight239211
Activity ELO1 2971 415
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Yair Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Emmett's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -20Yair Rodriguez: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 1911 245
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Yair Rodriguez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Emmett is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Emmett: -21Yair Rodriguez: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh EmmettYair Rodriguez
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1281 169
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.