Josh Fremd vs Roman Kopylov

September 15, 2023

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

996
(-23)
Josh Fremd
Winner: Roman Kopylov
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Fremd-23
Roman Kopylov+37
1122
(+37)
Roman Kopylov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -28Roman Kopylov: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Total UFC Fights56
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9771 070
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -19Roman Kopylov: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 045
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -21Roman Kopylov: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:444:44
Win Type ELO1 0101 269
ELO Change-21+42
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -37Roman Kopylov: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Significant Strikes Landed3849
Significant Strikes Attempted11684
Total Strikes Landed3854
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9571 272
ELO Change-37+37
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 38 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 32.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Roman Kopylov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -24Roman Kopylov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time0:500:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0521 045
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Josh Fremd on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -20Roman Kopylov: +99

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Days Since Last Fight3549
Activity ELO1 0211 161
ELO Change-20+99
💡

What Happened

Roman Kopylov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Roman Kopylov capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Fremd's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -19Roman Kopylov: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9881 066
ELO Change-19+27
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Fremd is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: -19Roman Kopylov: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdRoman Kopylov
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 045
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.