September 15, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:44 | 4:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 010 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Roman Kopylov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 84 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Roman Kopylov controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 38 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 32.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Roman Kopylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 052 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Roman Kopylov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Josh Fremd on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 35 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +99 |
Roman Kopylov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Roman Kopylov capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Fremd's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +27 |
Roman Kopylov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Fremd is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Fremd | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

