Josh Fremd vs Sedriques Dumas

March 10, 2023

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

995
(+62)
Josh Fremd
Winner: Josh Fremd
Submission
Round 2 • 3:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Fremd+62
Sedriques Dumas-55
945
(-55)
Sedriques Dumas

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +37Sedriques Dumas: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO973963
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Josh Fremd's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Josh Fremd for the expected result. Had Sedriques Dumas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +24Sedriques Dumas: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO981976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +79Sedriques Dumas: -51

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:003:00
Win Type ELO1 001949
ELO Change+79-51
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What Happened

Josh Fremd earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:00, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sedriques Dumas was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +45Sedriques Dumas: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Significant Strikes Landed3320
Significant Strikes Attempted6144
Total Strikes Landed4823
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO977955
ELO Change+45-45
💡

What Happened

Josh Fremd edged the striking exchanges with 48 vs 23 total strikes, 33 vs 20 significant strikes, 54.1% vs 45.5% accuracy. Josh Fremd capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +211Sedriques Dumas: -211

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time4:270:07
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 054789
ELO Change+211-211
💡

What Happened

Josh Fremd dominated Sedriques Dumas on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:27 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +47Sedriques Dumas: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Days Since Last Fight134N/A
Activity ELO1 005976
ELO Change+47-24
💡

What Happened

Josh Fremd demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Josh Fremd capitalized on this activity level, while Sedriques Dumas's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +26Sedriques Dumas: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO984976
ELO Change+26-24
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What Happened

Josh Fremd started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sedriques Dumas is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Fremd: +24Sedriques Dumas: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh FremdSedriques Dumas
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO981976
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.