August 3, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 931 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 938 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:15 | 3:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 882 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +54 |
Rani Yahya earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 766 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Josh Grispi controlled the striking through superior accuracy (60.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Josh Grispi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rani Yahya's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 2:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 805 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Rani Yahya controlled Josh Grispi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:28 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 427 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 939 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Grispi's 427-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 939 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Rani Yahya started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Grispi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Grispi | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 938 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

