September 23, 2011
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 186 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -37 |
Josh Koscheck overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (19 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Hughes.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 169 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 500 | 1 369 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -42 |
Josh Koscheck earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 377 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Josh Koscheck edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 14 significant strikes, 51.0% vs 26.4% accuracy. Josh Koscheck capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 431 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Josh Koscheck controlled Matt Hughes on the ground with 0:17 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 355 | 1 281 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Josh Koscheck demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Josh Koscheck capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Hughes's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 206 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Josh Koscheck started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Hughes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 149 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.