May 7, 2010
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 147 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Josh Koscheck's 14-fight experience advantage (17 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Josh Koscheck for the expected result. Had Paul Daley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 147 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 429 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Josh Koscheck earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 336 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Josh Koscheck dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 14 total strikes, 19 vs 11 significant strikes, 65.5% vs 39.3% accuracy. Josh Koscheck capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:02 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 397 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Josh Koscheck dominated Paul Daley on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 12:02 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 351 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -9 |
Josh Koscheck demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Josh Koscheck capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Daley's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 190 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -14 |
Josh Koscheck extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Daley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Paul Daley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 141 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

