Josh Koscheck vs Paul Daley

May 7, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1267
(+25)
Josh Koscheck
Winner: Josh Koscheck
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Koscheck+25
Paul Daley-24
1100
(-24)
Paul Daley

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +35Paul Daley: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Total UFC Fights173
Experience Gap14-14
Experience ELO1 1471 115
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Josh Koscheck's 14-fight experience advantage (17 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Josh Koscheck for the expected result. Had Paul Daley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +16Paul Daley: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1471 033
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +26Paul Daley: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4291 242
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Josh Koscheck earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +38Paul Daley: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Significant Strikes Landed1911
Significant Strikes Attempted2928
Total Strikes Landed8314
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3361 159
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Josh Koscheck dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 14 total strikes, 19 vs 11 significant strikes, 65.5% vs 39.3% accuracy. Josh Koscheck capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +35Paul Daley: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time12:020:02
Ground Strikes Landed173
Ground ELO1 3971 075
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Josh Koscheck dominated Paul Daley on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 12:02 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +16Paul Daley: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Days Since Last Fight168126
Activity ELO1 3511 097
ELO Change+16-9
💡

What Happened

Josh Koscheck demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Josh Koscheck capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Daley's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +19Paul Daley: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 1901 045
ELO Change+19-14
💡

What Happened

Josh Koscheck extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Daley is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: +17Paul Daley: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckPaul Daley
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1411 032
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.