February 22, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +90 |
Robbie Lawler overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Koscheck.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 130 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:57 | 3:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 414 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +167 |
Robbie Lawler earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 205 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -158 | +158 |
Robbie Lawler slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 9 vs 2 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 50.0% accuracy. Robbie Lawler capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:14 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 385 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Robbie Lawler did not secure a significant ground advantage against Josh Koscheck on the ground with 0 takedowns, 7 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 295 | 3 047 |
| Activity ELO | 1 311 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +31 |
Robbie Lawler demonstrated extended layoff with 3047 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Robbie Lawler capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Koscheck's 295-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 167 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +34 |
Robbie Lawler started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Koscheck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 113 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.