Josh Koscheck vs Thiago Alves

October 24, 2008

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1201
(-34)
Josh Koscheck
Winner: Thiago Alves
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Koscheck-34
Thiago Alves+41
1307
(+41)
Thiago Alves

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -29Thiago Alves: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Total UFC Fights1211
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 1571 249
ELO Change-29+30
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (12 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -21Thiago Alves: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1091 153
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -29Thiago Alves: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3131 486
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Thiago Alves earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -67Thiago Alves: +67

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Significant Strikes Landed3980
Significant Strikes Attempted128181
Total Strikes Landed4687
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO1 2311 491
ELO Change-67+67
💡

What Happened

Thiago Alves dominated the striking exchanges with 87 vs 46 total strikes, 80 vs 39 significant strikes, 44.2% vs 30.5% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Thiago Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -70Thiago Alves: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted52
Ground Control Time2:380:17
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 2651 283
ELO Change-70+70
💡

What Happened

Thiago Alves landed 2 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -18Thiago Alves: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Days Since Last Fight112140
Activity ELO1 2771 381
ELO Change-18+36
💡

What Happened

Thiago Alves demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Koscheck's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -19Thiago Alves: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Win Streak07
Win Streak ELO1 1511 264
ELO Change-19+54
💡

What Happened

Thiago Alves continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Josh Koscheck's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Koscheck: -21Thiago Alves: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh KoscheckThiago Alves
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1031 145
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.