November 15, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +96 |
Tyron Woodley overcame a 20-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Koscheck.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 101 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:38 | 4:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 341 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +158 |
Tyron Woodley earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 984 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -221 | +221 |
Tyron Woodley dominated the striking exchanges with 47 vs 7 total strikes, 22 vs 5 significant strikes, 64.7% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Tyron Woodley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 1:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 290 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Tyron Woodley landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 275 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +63 |
Tyron Woodley demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Koscheck's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 137 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +33 |
Tyron Woodley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Koscheck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Koscheck | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.