July 7, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 046 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Joshua Burkman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 958 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Joshua Burkman controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 19 significant strikes, 39.8% vs 48.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joshua Burkman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:10 | 6:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 990 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Joshua Burkman landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 93 | 93 |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Joshua Burkman demonstrated solid activity levels with 93 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joshua Burkman capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Neer's 93-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Joshua Burkman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Neer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Neer | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.