Josh Neer vs Keith Wisniewski

September 30, 2011

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(+24)
Josh Neer
Winner: Josh Neer
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Round 2 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Neer+24
Keith Wisniewski-24
943
(-24)
Keith Wisniewski

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +30Keith Wisniewski: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Total UFC Fights112
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 029949
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Josh Neer's 9-fight experience advantage (11 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Josh Neer for the expected result. Had Keith Wisniewski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +21Keith Wisniewski: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO995958
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +18Keith Wisniewski: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Fight OutcomeTKO - Doctor's StoppageTKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Last Round22
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 080940
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Josh Neer gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +43Keith Wisniewski: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Significant Strikes Landed9341
Significant Strikes Attempted15983
Total Strikes Landed13341
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 024898
ELO Change+43-43
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What Happened

Josh Neer dominated the striking exchanges with 133 vs 41 total strikes, 93 vs 41 significant strikes, 58.5% vs 49.4% accuracy. Josh Neer capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +18Keith Wisniewski: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:423:40
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 001921
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Josh Neer did not secure a significant ground advantage against Keith Wisniewski on the ground with 0:42 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +15Keith Wisniewski: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Days Since Last Fight7072 142
Activity ELO1 072963
ELO Change+15-16
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer demonstrated extended layoff with 707 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Josh Neer capitalized on this activity level, while Keith Wisniewski's 2142-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +23Keith Wisniewski: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 011959
ELO Change+23-20
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What Happened

Josh Neer started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Keith Wisniewski is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +21Keith Wisniewski: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO995958
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.