Josh Neer vs Mac Danzig

February 6, 2009

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1046
(+46)
Josh Neer
Winner: Josh Neer
Submission
Round 2 • 3:36

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Neer+46
Mac Danzig-40
1004
(-40)
Mac Danzig

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +33Mac Danzig: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Total UFC Fights84
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 037985
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Josh Neer for the expected result. Had Mac Danzig pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +23Mac Danzig: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 012995
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +69Mac Danzig: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:363:36
Win Type ELO1 1261 034
ELO Change+69-45
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What Happened

Josh Neer earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:36, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mac Danzig was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +36Mac Danzig: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Significant Strikes Landed4633
Significant Strikes Attempted9666
Total Strikes Landed6862
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0121 062
ELO Change+36-36
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What Happened

Josh Neer edged the striking exchanges with 46 vs 33 significant strikes. Josh Neer capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +121Mac Danzig: -121

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time2:132:58
Ground Strikes Landed122
Ground ELO1 055933
ELO Change+121-121
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer dominated Mac Danzig on the ground with 2:13 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +41Mac Danzig: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Days Since Last Fight144144
Activity ELO1 0891 022
ELO Change+41-21
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer demonstrated solid activity levels with 144 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Josh Neer capitalized on this activity level, while Mac Danzig's 144-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +25Mac Danzig: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0261 002
ELO Change+25-22
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mac Danzig is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Neer: +23Mac Danzig: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh NeerMac Danzig
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 012995
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.