August 11, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 907 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +17 |
Martin Buday overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Parisian.
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:11 | 4:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 942 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +44 |
Martin Buday earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 914 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Martin Buday controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 27 total strikes, 42 vs 26 significant strikes, 62.7% vs 42.6% accuracy. Martin Buday capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 1:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 772 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Martin Buday controlled Josh Parisian on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:56 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 970 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +36 |
Martin Buday demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Martin Buday capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Parisian's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +22 |
Martin Buday extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Parisian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Parisian | Martin Buday |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.