Josh Quinlan vs Trey Waters

April 28, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1007
(-37)
Josh Quinlan
Winner: Trey Waters
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Quinlan-37
Trey Waters+38
1038
(+38)
Trey Waters

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -79Trey Waters: +79

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO9961 079
ELO Change-79+79
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -22Trey Waters: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9981 022
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -53Trey Waters: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0371 053
ELO Change-53+53
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What Happened

Trey Waters earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -50Trey Waters: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Significant Strikes Landed50104
Significant Strikes Attempted128203
Total Strikes Landed50106
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0251 050
ELO Change-50+50
💡

What Happened

Trey Waters dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 50 total strikes, 104 vs 50 significant strikes, 51.2% vs 39.1% accuracy. Trey Waters capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -29Trey Waters: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted82
Ground Control Time0:540:27
Ground Strikes Landed21
Ground ELO9981 029
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Trey Waters did not secure a significant ground advantage against Josh Quinlan on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:27 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -22Trey Waters: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Days Since Last Fight259N/A
Activity ELO1 0011 022
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Trey Waters demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Trey Waters capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Quinlan's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -22Trey Waters: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0001 025
ELO Change-22+25
💡

What Happened

Trey Waters started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Quinlan is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Quinlan: -22Trey Waters: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh QuinlanTrey Waters
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9981 022
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.