Josh Samman vs Kevin Casey

April 12, 2013

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1039
(+39)
Josh Samman
Winner: Josh Samman
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:17

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Samman+39
Kevin Casey-33
967
(-33)
Kevin Casey

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +21Kevin Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +21Kevin Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +86Kevin Casey: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:172:17
Win Type ELO1 086958
ELO Change+86-42
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What Happened

Josh Samman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +97Kevin Casey: -97

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Significant Strikes Landed3614
Significant Strikes Attempted6222
Total Strikes Landed5564
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 097903
ELO Change+97-97
💡

What Happened

Josh Samman controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 14 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Josh Samman capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +21Kevin Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time2:173:13
Ground Strikes Landed511
Ground ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Josh Samman landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +21Kevin Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Josh Samman demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Josh Samman capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Casey's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +23Kevin Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Josh Samman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Casey is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: +21Kevin Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanKevin Casey
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.