April 12, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:17 | 2:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 086 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -42 |
Josh Samman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 903 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -97 |
Josh Samman controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 14 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Josh Samman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:17 | 3:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Josh Samman landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Josh Samman demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Josh Samman capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Casey's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Josh Samman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Casey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Kevin Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

