Josh Samman vs Tamdan McCrory

December 18, 2015

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1073
(-53)
Josh Samman
Winner: Tamdan McCrory
Submission
Round 3 • 4:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Samman-53
Tamdan McCrory+56
1078
(+56)
Tamdan McCrory

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -39Tamdan McCrory: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Total UFC Fights47
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0581 052
ELO Change-39+39
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What Happened

Tamdan McCrory's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tamdan McCrory for the expected result. Had Josh Samman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -25Tamdan McCrory: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0391 026
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -59Tamdan McCrory: +89

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish4:104:10
Win Type ELO1 2041 201
ELO Change-59+89
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What Happened

Tamdan McCrory earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Josh Samman was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -69Tamdan McCrory: +69

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Significant Strikes Landed1039
Significant Strikes Attempted1953
Total Strikes Landed5380
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1871 123
ELO Change-69+69
💡

What Happened

Tamdan McCrory controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 53 total strikes, 39 vs 10 significant strikes, 73.6% vs 52.6% accuracy. Tamdan McCrory capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -157Tamdan McCrory: +157

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Takedowns Landed22
Takedowns Attempted44
Ground Control Time6:207:18
Ground Strikes Landed934
Ground ELO9591 100
ELO Change-157+157
💡

What Happened

Tamdan McCrory dominated Josh Samman on the ground with 2 takedowns, 7:18 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -23Tamdan McCrory: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Days Since Last Fight1612 325
Activity ELO1 0471 061
ELO Change-23+20
💡

What Happened

Tamdan McCrory demonstrated extended layoff with 2325 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tamdan McCrory capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Samman's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -25Tamdan McCrory: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0531 035
ELO Change-25+28
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What Happened

Tamdan McCrory started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Samman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -25Tamdan McCrory: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTamdan McCrory
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0391 026
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.