December 18, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Tamdan McCrory's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tamdan McCrory for the expected result. Had Josh Samman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:10 | 4:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 204 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +89 |
Tamdan McCrory earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Josh Samman was submitted.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 187 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Tamdan McCrory controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 53 total strikes, 39 vs 10 significant strikes, 73.6% vs 52.6% accuracy. Tamdan McCrory capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:20 | 7:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 34 |
| Ground ELO | 959 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -157 | +157 |
Tamdan McCrory dominated Josh Samman on the ground with 2 takedowns, 7:18 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 2 325 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +20 |
Tamdan McCrory demonstrated extended layoff with 2325 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tamdan McCrory capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Samman's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Tamdan McCrory started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Samman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Samman | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

